UFC 314 A.I. Predictions for the Prelims

UFC 314, set for April 12, 2025, at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, promises an electric night of fights, and the preliminary card is stacked with intriguing matchups. Below, I’ll dive into detailed analyses and A.I. predictions for every prelim. Each fight brings unique stylistic clashes and high stakes for the fighters involved.

Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodson (Featherweight)

Background: Dan Ige (18-8) is a fan favorite known for his relentless pace, durability, and well-rounded skill set. Coming off a knockout loss to Diego Lopes in June 2024, Ige is looking to rebound and solidify his standing in the featherweight division. Sean Woodson (11-1-1), with his 6’2” frame and 78-inch reach, is a striking specialist who uses his length to dominate range. His most recent win, a decision over Charles Jourdain in January 2025, showcased his improving game.

Analysis: This is a classic striker vs. all-rounder matchup. Woodson’s advantage lies in his reach and jab, which he uses to keep opponents at bay. His striking output is crisp, averaging 5.3 significant strikes per minute, and he’s shown resilience in his lone loss (a knockout to Julian Erosa in 2020). Ige, however, thrives in chaos. With a 54% striking accuracy and a willingness to eat shots to close distance, he’ll look to turn this into a brawl. His wrestling (1.2 takedowns per 15 minutes) could be key, though Woodson’s 70% takedown defense suggests he’s prepared to stay upright.

The early rounds will likely favor Woodson if he can establish his jab and lateral movement, picking Ige apart from range. Ige’s path to victory hinges on weathering the storm, cutting angles, and dragging Woodson into deep waters where his cardio and pressure shine. Woodson’s chin has been tested, and Ige’s power (nine KO/TKO wins) could exploit any lapse in focus.

Prediction: This feels like a razor-close fight. Woodson’s technical striking might win him the first two rounds, but Ige’s durability and late-fight surge could steal the third. I lean toward Dan Ige via split decision, as his heart and aggression sway the judges in a gritty war.

Yan Xiaonan vs. Virna Jandiroba (Women’s Strawweight)

Background: Yan Xiaonan (15-4) is a top-tier strawweight with elite striking credentials, boasting a 5.1 significant strikes per minute rate and a knockout win over Jéssica Andrade in 2023. After a title shot loss to Zhang Weili in 2024, she’s hungry to climb back up. Virna Jandiroba (20-3), a grappling wizard, has won four straight, including a submission of Amanda Lemos in July 2024. Her jiu-jitsu is among the division’s best, with eight submission victories.

Analysis: This is a striker vs. grappler showdown with massive implications. Xiaonan’s game plan will revolve around her pinpoint striking—crisp combinations and a stiff jab—to keep Jandiroba at distance. Her 67% takedown defense is solid, but she’s never faced a grappler as relentless as Jandiroba. The Brazilian’s 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes and chain-wrestling approach will test Xiaonan’s sprawl-and-brawl

Jandiroba’s path to victory is simple: close the distance, drag Xiaonan to the mat, and hunt for submissions. Her armbar finish of Lemos showed her ability to capitalize once grounded. Xiaonan must avoid the clinch, where Jandiroba’s judo background shines, and use her footwork to stay in open space.

The X-factor is stamina. Xiaonan’s cardio held up in her five-round war with Weili, while Jandiroba has never gone past three rounds in the UFC. If Xiaonan survives the early grappling onslaught, she could turn the tide late with volume striking.

Prediction: Jandiroba’s grappling edge is hard to ignore against a striker like Xiaonan, who’s been taken down before (e.g., by Carla Esparza). I see Jandiroba securing a takedown in Round 1 and locking in a submission. Virna Jandiroba via armbar, Round 2.

Jim Miller vs. Chase Hooper (Lightweight)

Background: Jim Miller (37-18) is a UFC legend with more fights (45) than anyone in company history. At 41, he’s still dangerous, riding a submission win over Gabriel Benitez in January 2025. Chase Hooper (13-3-1), just 25, is a submission ace with nine tapout wins, coming off a decision victory over Clay Guida in December 2024.

Analysis: This pits experience against youth. Miller’s well-rounded game—decent striking (3.5 significant strikes per minute) and solid grappling (1.6 takedowns per 15 minutes)—makes him a tough out. His 73% takedown defense will be tested by Hooper’s relentless wrestling (3.2 takedowns per 15 minutes) and BJJ black belt skills.

Hooper’s lanky 6’1” frame gives him a reach edge, but his striking remains a work in progress (42% accuracy). Miller, with 19 submission wins of his own, won’t be an easy mark on the ground. The key battle will be positional: if Hooper can’t get top control, Miller’s veteran savvy could punish him with ground-and-pound or counter-submissions.

Age could play a role. Miller’s durability is legendary, but Hooper’s pace might expose any decline. Conversely, Hooper’s relative inexperience (fewer high-level opponents) might let Miller dictate terms.

Prediction: Miller’s cage IQ gives him an early edge, but Hooper’s youth and submission game take over as Miller tires. Chase Hooper via rear-naked choke, Round 3.

Darren Elkins vs. Julian Erosa (Featherweight)

Background: Darren Elkins (28-11) is the epitome of grit, with a 4-2 record since 2020 and a recent decision win over Daniel Pineda in October 2024. Julian Erosa (29-12), a streaky but dangerous finisher, has 11 knockouts and 12 submissions. He’s coming off a loss to Nate Landwehr in December 2024.

Analysis: This is a brawler’s delight. Elkins’ relentless wrestling (3.8 takedowns per 15 minutes) and iron chin (never knocked out) let him grind opponents down. His striking is limited (2.7 significant strikes per minute), but he thrives in scrambles. Erosa, with a 74-inch reach, prefers a stand-up war, landing 5.2 significant strikes per minute and boasting a knockout over Sean Woodson.

Erosa’s 47% takedown defense is shaky, and Elkins will exploit it. If Erosa keeps it standing, his power and guillotine threat (five submission wins) could catch Elkins. However, Elkins’ pace often breaks fighters late, and Erosa’s cardio has faltered in three-rounders.

The intangibles favor Elkins: his “Damage” nickname isn’t just hype—he’s survived wars Erosa hasn’t seen. Erosa’s inconsistency (4-5 since 2021) contrasts with Elkins’ reliability.

Prediction: Erosa might land early, but Elkins’ wrestling and heart prevail in a slugfest. Darren Elkins via unanimous decision.

Final Thoughts For UFC 314 Prelims

These prelims set the tone for UFC 314 with a mix of veteran tenacity and rising talent. Ige’s grit, Jandiroba’s grappling, Hooper’s youth, and Elkins’ durability could steal the show before the main card fireworks. Expect close calls, finishes, and plenty of drama down in Miami.