UFC 321: Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista Preview and Prediction
This weekend, UFC returns to Abu Dhabi with enormous excitement surrounding UFC 321, one of the most anticipated events of 2025. The stacked fight card promises thrilling action from start to finish, featuring two major title fights. Adding to the excitement, the bantamweight showdown between Umar Nurmagomedov and Mario Bautista has drawn significant attention from MMA enthusiasts.
Umar Nurmagomedov
Umar Nurmagomedov, widely regarded as the protege of former UFC champion Khabib Nurmagomedov, continues to follow his mentor’s disciplined path. Coming from a strong Dagestani wrestling background, Umar has also developed precise striking skills through years of training in the art of Muay Thai. Earlier this year at UFC 311, Nurmagomedov came close to capturing the bantamweight title but was ultimately overwhelmed by champion Merab Dvalishvili.
Since suffering that setback, the determined Dagestani has been relentlessly pursuing redemption and believes he can defeat the Georgian. The fighter is already looking past his opponent at UFC 321 and believes a win can give him the next title shot. However, before earning his revenge, he must first overcome a tough test against Mario Bautista.
Mario Bautista
Mario Bautista has emerged as one of the most consistent and technically sound fighters in the UFC’s bantamweight division. Known for his explosive combinations and slick movement, Bautista has steadily improved with every fight, showcasing his mettle at the top. Earlier this year, Bautista extended his winning streak to eight fights after defeating Patchy Mix via decision.
Ahead of UFC 321, the American fighter views this matchup as his biggest opportunity to secure a title shot. Bautista has plans to take notes from Dvalishvili’s fight with Nurmagomedov and create a similar game plan to get a win.
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What time is the fight?
UK fans can watch UFC 321 live on TNT Sports Box Office or Discovery+ at 7 PM BST, streaming across Sky, EE TV, or Virgin Media. Early prelims and undercard fights appear via UFC Fight Pass for global access, offering HD coverage and replays the next morning at 10 AM BST. US fans can catch UFC 321 on ESPN+ beginning at 2 PM ET. The prelims will air on ESPN+, Disney+, and FX.
Statistical Matchup
| CATEGORY | Umar Nurmagomedov | Mario Bautista |
| AGE | 29 | 32 |
| HEIGHT | 1.73 m | 1.75 m |
| REACH | 175.3 cm | 175.3 cm |
| PRO RECORD | 18 – 1 – 0 | 16 – 2 – 0 |
| FIGHTING OUT OF | Kizilyurt, Dagestan | Winnemucca, Nevada |
Final Prediction
Mario Bautista is fully prepared for everything Umar Nurmagomedov brings to the Octagon, showcasing confidence in his all-around fighting abilities. He believes the upcoming clash will be a thrilling back-and-forth battle, testing both fighters’ endurance and mental toughness. Bautista has boldly predicted a knockout victory, aiming to secure a long-awaited bantamweight title shot immediately afterward.
Irrespective of his previous loss against Merab Dvalishvili, Umar Nurmagomedov remains one of the most dangerous and technical bantamweight fighters. His fight with Cory Sandhagen clearly showcased his elite striking pedigree, sharp fight IQ, and dominant wrestling skillset that defines Dagestani athletes.
Nurmagomedov respects the threat Bautista brings into the Octagon but remains confident in his ability to neutralize any challenge. He firmly believes Bautista lacks the knockout power to trouble him and plans to dominate through relentless wrestling control. Going into the battle, the fighter definitely has a better chance of getting his hands raised.
Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov via Unanimous Decision
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