Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio Bout Prediction

Christian Leroy Duncan will look for his third consecutive win when he takes on surging Marco Tulio on the UFC Vegas 111 main card opener on Saturday. Duncan was last seen in action in August at UFC Vegas 109 where he scored a first-round knockout over Eryk Anders. Prior to his fight with Anders, Duncan defeated Andrey Pulyaev via unanimous decision. Now, let’s look at the match in more detail and see who is ahead.

Fighters’ Profiles and Strength

Christian Leroy Duncan – WWWWW

Christian Leroy Duncan has a record of 12 wins and 2 losses going into this fight. The British fighter has a lot of confidence, skill, and high hopes going into the Octagon. Duncan is six feet two inches tall and controls fights with his long reach, smooth movement, and creative strikes. He also has good wrestling skills, which makes him a dangerous all-around athlete. Before joining the UFC, Duncan won seven fights in a row, five of which were by knockout and one by submission.

Since Christian Leroy Duncan first fight in 2023, he has won three and lost two. He beat Denis Tiuliulin and Claudio Ribeiro, but lost a close fight to Armen Petrosyan. Duncan is now a slight underdog, but he has become known for his finishing ability, winning four of his last five fights. When he gets into a rhythm, he can be very explosive, as shown by his knockouts of Julian Marquez, Chidi Njokuani, and Kyle McClurkin. The Englishman is expected to put on another great show on fight night thanks to his sharp skills and growing confidence.

Marco Tulio – WWWLW

Marco Tulio enters the Octagon for the third time in 2025, hoping to keep his winning streak going. He has won two fights in a row by stoppage against Ihor Potieria and Tresean Gore. Now he faces Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Apex. The 31-year-old Brazilian has been on fire since he stood out in Dana White’s Contender Series in 2024. He has won ten fights in a row, and seven of those wins came by stoppage, including his last four. He has an impressive record of 13 wins and 1 loss, with the loss happening seven years ago. Tulio has easily handled every challenge the UFC has thrown at him. So far, his aggressive style and raw strength have been too much for his opponents. When he gets to the middle of the cage, he attacks with heavy combinations and sharp high kicks, which often surprise his opponents when they are close by. Tulio will have to hit first and keep the pressure on Duncan. If he can use his power early, he might be able to take control before Duncan gets into the swing of things.

What time is the fight?

The fight kicks off live on Saturday 11.08.2025 at 04:00 PM ET

Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

SHOP: Kickboxing Gear

How Can I Watch It?

If you’re interested, you can watch it on ESPN+ Pay-per-view.

Statistical Matchup

CATEGORY	Marco Tulio	Christian Leroy Duncan
AGE	31	30
HEIGHT	74.5″	79.0″
REACH	6’0″	6’2″
PRO RECORD	14-1-0	12-2-0
FIGHTING OUT OF	São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil	Gloucester, England

Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio Final Prediction

This fight is a great way to start off the main card. Both fighters are dangerous strikers who can knock you out, and neither of them likes to back down. Christian Leroy Duncan has more experience at this level than the other guy. He moves smoothly and strikes sharply. Marco Tulio, though, is a storm—relentless, aggressive, and determined to break through anyone in his path. Tulio needs to get closer and use his combinations without being too reckless if he wants to win. Duncan’s counterstrikes could hurt him if he goes too far. Duncan’s best chance is to play the matador—control the pace, slip Tulio’s attacks, and strike back with precision. He should win by a small margin if he can stay calm under pressure.

+3.5 SPREAD CHRISTIAN LEROY DUNCAN

FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE – YES

MARCO TULIO TO WIN