UFC 323: Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan Analysis and Prediction

Merab Dvalishvili enters UFC 323 looking to extend one of the most dominant runs in the bantamweight division, while Petr Yan attempts to rebuild the momentum he once had as champion. Their rematch holds huge implications for the title picture and provides a compelling stylistic clash.

Merab Dvalishvili has been on an exceptional upward trajectory, turning his pressure-heavy wrestling style into one of the most suffocating arsenals in the sport. Known for his unmatched cardio and relentless pace, the Georgian contender has built a reputation for breaking opponents with volume and tenacity. His ability to chain takedowns and maintain top pressure makes him a nightmare matchup for most strikers.

Petr Yan enters with far more urgency than usual. Once viewed as the most technically complete striker in the division, his recent skid has placed him in a must-win situation. Yan remains sharp, disciplined and highly strategic, but he has struggled in razor-close fights and has shown vulnerability when consistently pressured. His experience in championship moments, however, gives him a path to victory if he can control the tempo.

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Tale of the Tape

Category	Merab Dvalishvili	Petr Yan
Record	21-4-0	19-5-0
Height	5’6″	5’7″
Reach	68″	67″
Stance	Orthodox	Switch

Analysis

This matchup is a contrast of styles: Dvalishvili’s endless pressure vs Yan’s precision and countering. Yan has historically performed well in rematches, but Merab’s pace is an element few fighters have been able to solve. If Yan cannot establish early range and slow the wrestling, he risks getting drowned under volume. Dvalishvili’s recent consistency makes him the more reliable pick.

When / Where / How to Watch

UFC 323 takes place on Sunday, 7 December in UK: 3:00am GMT
The event airs live on UFC Fight Pass and local broadcast partners.

Prediction

Dvalishvili’s pressure and output should be the deciding factors over five rounds.

Merab Dvalishvili wins by unanimous decision