Benoit Sanit-Denis vs Kyle Prepolec: Predictions, Analysis, and Breakdown

Benoit Sanit-Denis and Kyle Prepolec are set to face off at UFC 315. Their bout is the 8th fight out of 12 on the Main Card. This is a Middleweight division match, meaning both fighters will compete at 155 lbs (70.3 kg). Considering the last five matches, both players has won at least three of their last five matches. Here’s a quick breakdown—and who could be the smarter bet?

Fighters’ Profiles and Strength

Benoit Sanit-Denis – LLWWW

Benoit Saint-Denis enters this fight on a two-fight losing streak. He has a professional MMA record of 13 wins and 3 losses. His most recent fight was on September 28, 2024, at UFC Fight Night against Renato Moicano. Unfortunately, the fight ended in a loss due to a doctor stoppage in the second round after Benoit suffered an eye injury. Before that, he defeated Marc Diakiese at ADXC 4 by unanimous decision.

His second consecutive loss came against Dustin Poirier at UFC 299: O’Malley vs. Vera 2. Benoit Sanit-Denis lost by a right hook knockout in the second round. In the worldwide rankings, Benoit is ranked 15th as both the best current MMA lightweight and as MMA Fighter of the Year for 2023.

Throughout his career, Benoit has secured 4 wins by knockout and 9 wins by submission. His losses include 2 by knockout and 1 by decision. Benoit started his professional career in the BRAVE Combat promotion in 2019, where he fought 5 times, winning 4 and having 1 no contest. After two years, he joined the UFC in 2021. So far, he has fought 8 times in the UFC, with 5 wins and 3 losses.

In his previous UFC fights, Benoit Sanit-Denis won by rear-naked choke submission against Niklas Stolze in the second round. He also defeated Gabriel Miranda with a powerful right hook followed by ground strikes, earning him the “Performance of the Night” bonus at UFC Fight Night.

Kyle Prepolec – WWWLW

Kyle Prepolec, also known as “Killshot,” was born in Windsor, Ontario, Canada. He has a professional MMA record of 18 wins and 8 losses. Right now, he is on a three-fight win streak and fights out of Windsor, Ontario.

In his MMA career, Kyle has fought 26 times. He has 10 wins by TKO, 4 wins and 2 losses by submission, and 4 wins and 6 losses by decision. In North America, he is ranked 111th out of 18,044 in the pound-for-pound rankings and 33rd out of 1,059 in the pro lightweight division. In Canada, he is ranked 15th out of 1,026 in pound-for-pound and 6th out of 67 in pro lightweight. In Ontario, he is ranked 6th out of 125 in pound-for-pound and 2nd out of 25 in pro lightweight.

Kyle’s fight against Austin Tweedy was canceled, but he won his fight against Gustavo Wurlitzer. However, he lost to Shane Campbell by unanimous decision. In 2012, Kyle competed in Bellator MMA, where he had 1 win and 1 loss. In 2019, he fought in the UFC and recorded 2 losses.

What time is the fight?

The fight kicks off live on Saturday, 05.10.2025 at 06:30 PM ET

Location: Centre Bell, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

SHOP: Ultimate T8 Boxing Gloves

How Can I Watch It?

If you’re interested, you can watch it on ESPN+ Pay-per-view.

Statistical Matchup

CATEGORY	KYLE PREPOLEC	BENOIT SAINT-DENIS
AGE	35	29
HEIGHT	5’10”	5’11”
REACH	70.0″	73.0″
PRO RECORD	18-8-0	13-3-0
FIGHTING OUT OF	Windsor, Ontario	Bayonne, France

Final Prediction

Benoit Saint-Denis needs to get stronger and completely rebuild his body. Right now, he lacks the grappling strength and discipline needed to compete against top 10 fighters in his division. Joel Alvarez faced a similar issue when he fought Tsarukyan but came back with a more developed body, which led to a good winning streak. Paddy Pimblett also made similar changes. Benoit looked more like a featherweight against Moicano.

He also needs to improve his anti-wrestling or learn some judo trips and body lock takedowns, especially if he’s not interested in learning freestyle wrestling. Sweeps from the bottom don’t work well against heavy ground and pound. I’m saying this because I think he has the potential to be a champion, but he needs to avoid focusing too much on flashy bonuses.

Benoit needs to be more tactical and follow a clear game plan. If he doesn’t, he might end up like Michael Chandler or Dan Hooker, who focus more on entertaining than fighting smart. He should move away from the “French warrior” mentality and focus on strategy. He could learn a lot from Belal, who plays the tactical game and avoids grueling fights.

Nassourdine Imavov had to change coaches because his previous coach wasn’t tactically sharp enough. Benoit has a solid base to be an MMA champion, but he needs to drop the warrior mindset, even though it helps him skip ahead.

I hope he focuses on wrestling, submits his opponent, and gets a clean win. He needs boring, controlled wins to rebuild his confidence. Right now, it feels like Benoit has lost some of his aura, but hopefully, he can regain it this Saturday, even against a lower-level opponent. A first-round win seems likely in this fight.

BENOIT SAINT-DENIS TO WIN IN 1-2 ROUNDS

UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS

BENOIT SAINT-DENIS TO WIN BY KNOCKOUTS