Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson: Predictions, Analysis, and Breakdown

Marina Rodriguez and Gillian Robertson are set to face off at UFC Fight Night. Their bout is the 4th fight out of 12 on the Preliminary Card. This is a Strawweight division match, meaning both fighters will compete at 115 lbs (52.2 kg).

Considering the last five matches, Marina Rodriguez is struggling with only a win, but Gillian Robertson has recorded three consecutive wins. Here’s a quick breakdown—and who could be the smarter bet?

Fighters’ Profiles and Strength

Marina Rodriguez – LLWLL

Marina Rodriguez is aiming to bounce back after a recent third-round loss to Amanda Lemos. With 16 wins in her career, she has six knockouts and nine decision victories. Her only other loss came in a split decision against Carla Esparza.

Rodriguez has shown off her striking skills against fighters like Xiaonan Yan, Mackenzie Dern, Michelle Waterson Gomez, and Amanda Ribas. While she has won several decisions, Rodriguez prefers not to leave things up to the judges.

Gillian Robertson – WWWLW

Gillian Robertson has a professional record of 15 wins and 8 losses. She’s a well-rounded fighter with strong wrestling skills. Despite facing tough competition in the UFC, she has only lost to top-ranked fighters like JJ Aldrich, Miranda Maverick, Taila Santos, and Maycee Barber.

The 29-year-old Canadian is currently on a two-fight win streak. Her last fight was on June 29, 2024, in the UFC. Robertson trains out of Port Saint Lucie, Florida, and has a boxing-based style. One of her most impressive performances was against Rose Namajunas on New Year’s Eve, where she dominated and made Namajunas look bad.

Robertson is dropping from flyweight to strawweight for this fight, after mostly fighting at flyweight in the UFC. She is currently ranked 13th in the Female Strawweight division and 35th in the P4P Female MMA Fighter rankings.

Other victories for Robertson include wins over Chrissy Briggs (via decision), Priscila Cachoeira (via rear-naked choke), Katlyn Cerminara (via escape time decision), Poliana Botelho (via unanimous decision), and Pearl Gonzalez (via rear-naked choke).

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What time is the fight?

The fight kicks off live on Saturday, 05.03.2025 at 07:00 PM ET

Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa, United States

How Can I Watch It?

If you’re interested, you can watch it on ESPN+ Pay-per-view.

Statistical Matchup

CATEGORY	MARINA RODRIGUEZ	GILLIAN ROBERTSON
AGE	38	29
HEIGHT	5’6”	5’5″
REACH	65.0”	63.0”
PRO RECORD	17-5-2	15-8-0
FIGHTING OUT OF	Florianopolis, Santa Catarina, Brazil	Port Saint Lucie, Florida

Final Prediction

Even though Marina is a strong fighter, I’m picking Robertson—she’s a beast. She might be on the sauce, but her wrestling is good enough to secure a decision win. Rodriguez, on the other hand, wants to keep the fight standing and use her striking to outclass Robertson. However, Robertson will aim to take the fight to the ground and work for a submission.

Rodriguez has impressive striking, with powerful punches and kicks. She also has a solid ground game, defending well against submissions and even landing some takedowns. The way she fights is just awesome! Her technique is sharp, and her clinch work is relentless. Marina’s striking is strong, and she always brings the fight, but her takedown defense is a bit weak.

Robertson’s fighting style makes her the clear favorite in this matchup. Her ground game will likely be the key to winning. Based on their strengths and weaknesses, Robertson is likely to win, probably by submission or unanimous decision. With her grappling skills and control, Robertson is the queen of the ground game.

TOTAL OVER 2.5 ROUNDS

+3.5 SPREAD WITH MARINA RODRIQUEZ

GILLIAN ROBERTSON TO WIN BY DECISION OR TECHNICAL DECISION

FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (YES)