UFC 318 Preview: Paulo Costa vs. Roman Kopylov

Paulo “Borrachinha” Costa returns to the octagon this weekend as the co-main event of UFC 318, taking place on July 19, 2025, in New Orleans. Facing rising contender Roman Kopylov, Costa is aiming to halt a slump that’s seen him lose four of his last five bouts. Meanwhile, Kopylov is riding momentum, looking to climb the middleweight ranks with another big win.

Tale of the Tape

Attribute	Paulo Costa	Roman Kopylov
Age	34	34
Height	6’0″	6’0″
Reach	72″	75″
Record	14–4	14–3
Streak	Lost 4 of 5	Won 2

The Stakes at UFC 318

Once considered a top threat in the division, Costa is at a crossroads. His most recent showing, a loss to Robert Whittaker at UFC 302, included a highlight-reel spinning heel kick but lacked consistency. After taking time to reset his approach, Costa has stated that he plans to return to his aggressive roots.

On the other side is Roman Kopylov, a sharp and calculated striker who has found his rhythm in recent fights. With two straight finishes, he’s quickly gaining recognition as a serious contender. A win over Costa would likely catapult him into the top 10 of the middleweight division.

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Tactical Breakdown

Costa’s Keys to Victory
Costa must push forward with volume and power, especially early. Known for his relentless pressure, he should aim to overwhelm Kopylov before the latter can find his timing. Mixing in takedowns or clinch work could disrupt Kopylov’s striking rhythm and give Costa more control over the pace.

Kopylov’s Game Plan
Kopylov will look to maintain distance and use his three-inch reach advantage. His crisp boxing and calculated kicks can frustrate Costa if he stays composed. Counterstriking will be key—waiting for Costa to overcommit, then answering with sharp combinations and clean exits.

Odds & Prediction

Oddsmakers have Kopylov listed as a moderate favorite, with Costa entering as a live underdog. While Costa still carries knockout power, his inconsistent performances and cardio questions have created doubt among analysts.

Prediction: Roman Kopylov via unanimous decision.