Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno is set to face Steve “Astroboy” Erceg in the main event of UFC on ESPN 64, taking place on March 29, 2025, at Arena CDMX in Mexico City. 

Brandon Moreno, a two-time UFC Flyweight Champion, Moreno holds a professional record of 22-8-2. Known for his well-rounded skill set, he has secured victories through both striking and submissions. Moreno has notable wins over top contenders and has been a prominent figure in the flyweight division. 

Steve Erceg, with a record of 12-3-0, Erceg is a former title challenger aiming to make a significant impact in the flyweight division. Despite having less UFC experience compared to Moreno, Erceg has demonstrated potential through his performances. 

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Moreno averages 3.99 significant strikes per minute with a 43% accuracy rate and absorbs 3.53 significant strikes per minute with a 60% defense rate. Erceg lands 4.37 significant strikes per minute at a 48% accuracy rate but absorbs 4.22 significant strikes per minute with a 53% defense rate. These statistics suggest that while Erceg has a higher striking output, Moreno exhibits better striking defense. 

Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg Prediction

Moreno is the heavy favorite in this matchup. Analysts highlight his superior grappling and defensive capabilities as key factors that could lead to his victory. Some experts suggest that Moreno’s experience and well-rounded skill set make him a strong candidate to win, potentially by stoppage

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