Sidekick Boxing

Bogdan Grad vs Lucas Alexander: Predictions, Analysis, and Breakdown

The UFC Fight Card features a Featherweight matchup between Bogdan Grad and Lucas Alexander. It’s the second fight on the Preliminary Card out of 11 total bouts. Here’s a quick look at what to expect—and who could be the better bet.

Fighters Profiles and Strength

Bogdan Grad

Bogdan Grad is making his UFC debut. Before this, he competed in Dana White’s Contender Series and Cage Fight Series. In CFS, he won seven fights, mostly by knockout.

His last fight was a split-decision win over Michael Aswell at Contender Series 2024. Before that, he defeated Caionã Batista with a Guillotine Choke and Breno Marinho with a Flying Knee.

In 2023, he lost to Tom Nolan by first-round TKO (Left Hook & Ground Punch) at Contender Series. Earlier, he beat Renzo Mendez by unanimous decision and Tudor Dermenji with a Spinning Heel Kick TKO.

He is currently ranked 106th in the MMA Featherweight division. He also fought at Blood Fight League, where he lost to Andrei Carauș by unanimous decision.

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Lucas Alexander

Lucas Alexander, known as “The Lion,” is coming off a loss to Jeka Saragih at UFC Fight Night. Since joining the UFC in 2022, he has one win and two losses. His only UFC victory came against Steven Peterson by unanimous decision.

Before that, he lost to Joanderson Brito by rear-naked choke submission. He also suffered submission losses to Matheus Pereira and Rogelio Gonzalez.

He started his pro career against Vicente Marquez in Portugal, then faced Erick Rocha at the NCE 11 event. In 2019, he had a five-fight win streak, winning by knockouts and decisions. His victories came against Jacob Kilburn, Ty Johnson, Reginald Mack II, Carlos Guerra, and Jeremias Fernandez.

What time is the fight?

The fight kicks off live at 9.00 a.m. ET this Saturday.

Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

How can I Watch It?

If you’re interested, you can watch it on ESPN+  Pay-per-view.

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Statistical Matchup

CATEGORYBOGDAN GRADLUCAS ALEXANDER
AGE2929
HEIGHT5’8″5’11”
REACH70.0″73.0″
RECORD14-2-08-4-0
FIGHTING FROMWeiz, AustriaRio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Final Prediction

Lucas Alexander hasn’t fought in 14 months. His last fight ended in a knockout loss. Bogdan Grad, on the other hand, won a close decision against Michael Aswell, securing his UFC debut. He did it with just eight clean punches.

Physically, Lucas has the edge. He’s taller, has a longer reach, and can use that against the UFC newcomer. Grad will need to close the distance and play to his strengths. He’s the better wrestler and has serious punching power. But none of his knockouts have come from his hands.

Lucas has never been knocked out by a kick. He’s in a must-win situation, making this fight all or nothing for him.

Bogdan Grad to win

Bogdan Grad to win by unanimous decision

Fight not to go the distance

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