Oleksandr Usyk vs. Daniel Dubois 2: Full Fight Prediction and Analysis

The heavyweight division returns to center stage this weekend as Oleksandr Usyk and Daniel Dubois meet for their long-awaited rematch at Wembley Stadium. Scheduled for Saturday, July 19, 2025, the bout carries high stakes—not just for redemption and legacy, but for undisputed heavyweight supremacy. Usyk enters as the reigning champion holding all four major belts, while Dubois aims to settle the score after a controversial first encounter in 2023.

Below, we break down their first bout, what’s changed since then, and how each fighter matches up heading into the sequel.

The First Fight: Controversy and Comeback

In their initial meeting in August 2023, Usyk stopped Dubois in the ninth round, but not without drama. Dubois appeared to drop Usyk with a body shot in round five, only for the referee to rule it a low blow. Usyk was given recovery time and gradually regained control, breaking down Dubois before earning a TKO finish.

The ruling sparked debate in the boxing world. Dubois and his camp immediately called for a rematch, insisting the shot was legal and that the outcome would have been different had the fight continued naturally. Usyk, ever composed, claimed it was low and continued his march toward unification.

Tale of the Tape

Attribute	Oleksandr Usyk	Daniel Dubois
Age	38	27
Height	6’3″ (191 cm)	6’5″ (196 cm)
Reach	78″ (198 cm)	78″ (198 cm)
Record	22-0 (14 KOs)	21-2 (20 KOs)

Oleksandr Usyk: The Champion with Momentum

Since then, Usyk has solidified his place in boxing history. He unified the heavyweight division with a razor-thin split decision win over Tyson Fury in May 2024. That victory placed him among the elite few who’ve conquered both the cruiserweight and heavyweight ranks at the highest level.

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Daniel Dubois: The Power Puncher with a Point to Prove

Daniel Dubois has been busy rebuilding his career since that loss. He bounced back with notable wins over top-10 contenders, including a surprise TKO victory over Zhilei Zhang and a technical decision win against Filip Hrgović. His confidence appears restored, and he insists he’s coming into the rematch smarter, stronger, and better prepared.

Keys to Victory

For Usyk:

Stick to angles, lateral movement, and jabs to disrupt Dubois’ rhythm
Avoid exchanges in close range
Stay defensively alert to avoid a repeat of the fifth-round scare

For Dubois:

Establish the jab early and invest in the body without venturing low
Cut the ring off and force Usyk into corners
Manage energy over 12 rounds to avoid fading late

Prediction: Oleksandr Usyk by Late TKO or Unanimous Decision

While Dubois has made improvements, Oleksandr Usyk remains the more complete fighter. His movement, composure, and ability to adapt mid-fight have consistently neutralized even the most dangerous opponents. Dubois may have a better outing this time, especially if he avoids early mistakes and maintains his game plan. But over 12 rounds, Usyk’s footwork and ring generalship should carry him to another decisive win—either by a wide decision or a late stoppage due to accumulation.