UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira: Preview and Prediction

Mario Bautista and Vinicius Oliveira are set to headline UFC Fight Night at the META APEX, closing the night with a high-stakes bantamweight main event. While no title is on the line, the matchup carries serious implications for the division’s immediate future and for the division’s ranking.

Both fighters enter with momentum and ambition, knowing a strong performance could elevate their standing among contenders. With opportunity, visibility, and divisional relevance all at stake, this bout is far bigger than a standard Fight Night headliner. Now, let’s take a closer look at who has the better chance of winning this weekend.

Mario Bautista

Mario Bautista’s fighting style involves steady pressure, clean striking, and controlled grappling to methodically break opponents over time. He built strong momentum through disciplined performances and improved decision-making against increasingly competitive opposition in the division.

That run stalled in his last outing, where Bautista lost a decision to Umar Nurmagomedov after struggling with elite grappling pressure. Now seeking redemption, Bautista aims to bounce back, regain momentum, and reassert himself as a legitimate contender in bantamweight.

Vinicius Oliveira

Vinicius Oliveira is an explosive striker with sharp timing, athletic movement, and aggressive bursts that quickly force opponents into chaos. The fighter got his UFC contract through Dana White’s Contender Series and has risen through the ranks with consistent performances.

The Brazilian is undefeated in the UFC and in his last outing beat Kyler Phillips via unanimous decision at UFC 315. Now ranked at #11, a statement win here could accelerate Oliveira toward relevance in the crowded bantamweight title picture.

How to watch: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira

To watch UFC Vegas 113 in the UK, prelims begin around 1:00 AM GMT and the main card at 4:00 AM. UK fans can access the full event live via TNT Sports channels and apps, with replays available later for viewers missing overnight action.

In the United States, UFC Vegas 113 prelims start approximately at 7:00 PM ET, followed by the main card at 10:00 PM ET. American viewers can stream the entire card live on Paramount+.

SHOP: Kickboxing Equipment

Tale of the Tape

CATEGORY	Mario Bautista	Vinicius Oliveira
AGE	31	28
HEIGHT	5′9″	5′8″
REACH	69″	70″
PRO RECORD	14–5–0	20–3–0
FIGHTING OUT OF	Arizona, United States	São Paulo, Brazil

Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira: Final Prediction

Mario Bautista approaches fights with patience and structure, relying on steady pressure and disciplined decision-making. He excels at managing range, mixing clean combinations with timely grappling, and forcing opponents to work at an uncomfortable pace. Over extended rounds, Bautista’s durability and ability to bank minutes allow him to gradually take control.

On the other side, Vinicius Oliveira is most dangerous early, thriving in fast, chaotic exchanges driven by explosive movement. While his bursts can create momentum swings, extended exchanges favor Bautista’s consistency and control. As the fight settles, Bautista’s pace management and fight IQ should neutralize Oliveira’s volatility.

Final Prediction: Mario Bautista via Unanimous Decision.