ONE 171 A.I. Predictions: Haggerty Vs. Wei

The upcoming bout at ONE 171 in Qatar between Jonathan Haggerty and Rui Wei is poised to be a pivotal moment in the ONE Championship bantamweight kickboxing division. Scheduled for February 20, 2025, at the Lusail Sports Arena. This fight not only marks Haggerty’s first defense of his ONE Bantamweight Kickboxing World Title, but also pits him against one of the most decorated strikers from China in recent history.

Jonathan Haggerty – The Champion:

Jonathan “The General” Haggerty has carved out a formidable reputation in ONE Championship. Known for his dynamic striking and aggressive forward pressure, Haggerty has become synonymous with high-octane performances. His journey to the top has been marked by significant victories, including a stunning knockout over Fabricio Andrade to claim the vacant kickboxing title in November 2023. However, his recent loss to Superlek Kiatmoo9 a Muay Thai title defense in September 2024 shows that even the best have their setbacks, providing a narrative of redemption for Haggerty in this bout.

Haggerty’s style is characterized by his ability to mix power with technique. He’s adept at closing distances quickly, employing a combination of punches, elbows, and knees. His footwork allows him to switch stances, making him unpredictable and hard to counter. However, his last fight highlighted vulnerabilities when facing elite fighters who can disrupt his rhythm, particularly when he’s pushed into defensive modes.

Rui Wei – The Challenger:

Rui Wei, known as “Demon Blade,” brings his own rich tapestry of experience to this confrontation. With an impressive 70-3 record, Wei is not just a seasoned fighter but a legend in the Chinese kickboxing scene, having been the first Chinese fighter to win a K-1 WorldChampionship. His ONE Championship debut in May 2024 against Hiroki Akimoto was a testament to his skills, where he showcased a blend of precision, power, and tactical acumen to secure a unanimous decision victory.

Wei’s fighting style is methodical yet explosive when the moment calls for it. He’s known for his left-handed approach, utilizing his lead hand to set up combinations while maintaining a tight defense. His kicking game is particularly notable, with a high success rate in both low and high kicks, which could pose a significant challenge to Haggerty, especially if Wei can keep the fight at a range where he can maximize his reach and kicking arsenal.

Fight Analysis:

Striking Dynamics: Haggerty’s aggressive forward movement against Wei’s more measured approach will be a key dynamic. Haggerty will likely try to close the distance to neutralize Wei’s kicks, aiming to land his powerful combinations in the clinch or at close range. Conversely, Wei will aim to keep Haggerty at the end of his punches and kicks, using his experience to manage the fight’s pace and avoid Haggerty’s power shots.
Defense and Counter-Striking: Wei’s defensive capabilities against Haggerty’s offensive onslaught will be crucial. If Wei can effectively use his guard to absorb or deflect Haggerty’s attacks, he might find openings for counter-kicks and punches. Haggerty, known for his resilience, must be wary of not leaving himself open after throwing his combinations, as Wei has shown he can capitalize on such moments.
Mental Game: Both fighters come into this match with something to prove. Haggerty wants to reassert his dominance after a loss, while Wei aims to claim his first ONE Championship title. The mental fortitude to handle the pressure of this high-stakes environment will be as important as physical prowess.
Conditioning and Pace: The fight could very well hinge on who can better manage their energy over three rounds. Haggerty’s aggressive style can be taxing, and if Wei can outlast him, especially in the later rounds, he might find an advantage. However, Haggerty has shown he can maintain his intensity throughout fights, so this could be a close call.

Haggerty vs Wei Prediction:

Given the stylistic matchup, this fight promises to be a tactical chess match wrapped in explosive exchanges. Here’s how I see it unfolding:

Round 1: Haggerty will start strong, pushing forward to unsettle Wei with his usual barrage of strikes. Wei might start cautiously, focusing on countering with his kicks, trying to find the right distance to use his left hand effectively. Expect a close round, with Haggerty possibly taking it due to his aggression and crowd-pleasing style.
Round 2: Wei, now more accustomed to Haggerty’s pace, begins to control the range better. He uses his kicking game to slow down Haggerty’s advances, occasionally landing sharp punches when Haggerty gets too close. This round could swing Wei’s way if he manages to land significant strikes or if Haggerty shows signs of fatigue.
Round 3: The final round could go either way. If Haggerty hasn’t been significantly hurt, he’ll continue his high-pressure attack, looking for a knockout or a decisive moment. Wei, however, will be banking on his experience and stamina, trying to outpoint Haggerty or catch him with a well-timed counter.

Final Prediction:

I predict a split decision victory for Jonathan Haggerty. His ability to maintain pressure, combined with his home support from the UK fans in attendance, might just be enough to edge out Wei on the judges’ scorecards. However, this fight will be close, and Wei’s tactical approach could easily sway the decision in his favor if he manages to land more clean shots or if Haggerty’s pace drops.

This bout will not only be a test of skill but also of heart and strategy, making it one of the most anticipated fights in ONE Championship’s return to Qatar.