UFC Mexico City: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh: Preview and Prediction

UFC returns to Mexico City with another electrifying card, headlined by hometown hero Brandon Moreno taking on surging contender Lone’er Kavanagh in a pivotal flyweight main event. The atmosphere is expected to be electric as Moreno looks to defend his territory against a confident rising challenger.

The matchup blends Moreno’s championship pedigree and relentless pace with Kavanagh’s hunger and fearless approach. Veteran composure meets youthful ambition in a fight that could reshape the flyweight landscape. With passionate fans looking forward to the bout, let’s see which fighter has better chances of winning this weekend.

Brandon Moreno

Brandon Moreno has been one of the defining figures of the UFC’s flyweight division, engaging in multiple high-profile championship battles. After losing his title against Alexandre Pantoja, Moreno has had an inconsistent career with multiple losses. In his last outing, the ‘Assassin Baby’ lost to Tatsuro Taira via a TKO.

However, Moreno is known for his strong mindset and ability to make strong comebacks. For Moreno, this main event in Mexico City is more than just another bout; it is an opportunity to reclaim momentum and position himself once again for a run at the flyweight crown.

Lone’er Kavanagh

Lone’er Kavanagh earned his UFC contract after scoring a first-round knockout on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2024. He made his Octagon debut later that year, defeating Jose Ochoa by unanimous decision to begin his promotional run strongly.

Kavanagh followed that performance with another unanimous decision win over Felipe dos Santos, extending his professional record to nine wins. Despite suffering his first career loss against Charles Johnson, Kavanagh enters UFC Mexico City determined to reestablish momentum.

How to watch: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh

To watch UFC Mexico City in the UK, prelims begin at 1:00 AM GMT, with the main card at 3:30 AM GMT on Sunday. British fans can stream the entire event live on Paramount+, depending on regional availability, with replays offered later afterward online.

In the U.S., prelims start at 8:00 PM ET, followed by the main card at 10:30 PM ET this Saturday night live. American viewers can watch the full fight card live on Paramount+, ensuring complete coverage throughout the evening broadcast with nationwide access.

SHOP: Kickboxing Equipment

Tale of the Tape

CATEGORY	Brandon Moreno	Lone’er Kavanagh
AGE	31	25
HEIGHT	5′7″	5′4″
REACH	70″	65″
PRO RECORD	21–8–2	9–1–0
FIGHTING OUT OF	Tijuana, Mexico	London, England

Brandon Moreno vs. Lone’er Kavanagh: Final Prediction

Brandon Moreno thrives in high-tempo battles where constant movement, layered combinations, and opportunistic grappling wear opponents down over time. He blends crisp boxing with sudden level changes, attacks the body consistently, and draws energy from the crowd to raise his intensity as rounds progress.

Across the cage, Lone’er Kavanagh prefers measured engagements, using lateral movement and sharp straight punches to control space in the opening frames. He looks to establish rhythm early, counter off Moreno’s entries, and avoid extended clinch exchanges that could drain his gas tank.

If Moreno turns the contest into a sustained firefight, pins Kavanagh along the fence, and forces scrambles at close range, the tide could shift quickly. By the third round, accumulated pressure and body work may break Kavanagh’s resistance, opening the door for a TKO stoppage.

Final Prediction: Brandon Moreno via TKO